It seems that what most analysts and pundits miss about Russia’s war against Ukraine is really core to the outcome.
On April 30, 2025 the Hoover Institute posted an article titled, “Lack of Will Prevents Wars From Being Won.” In that article they state that, “Winning depends upon the combination of will and capability.”
It is often the condition of the will of one party being greater than the will of the other party that will bring victory to the party with the greater will. This is often true even in cases where the party with the greater will is numerically or statistically out matched.
Ukraine has longed for their independence, their freedom for many years. Over the past number of centuries they have been repeatedly attacked by Russia and in numerous cases Russia has prevailed for a period of time. However, the deep felt yearning to be free rarely is extinguished when one country occupies another.
Throughout distant history as well as more recent past, Russia has perpetrated horrible atrocities against the Ukrainian people. Knowledge of that is part of what drives Ukraine’s determination.
Ukrainians’ are fighting for their liberty, their freedom, their culture, their nation, their towns, their homeland, their identity, and to protect their loved ones, their family.
So, the outcome of Russia’s invasion of and aggression towards Ukraine, is not a direct army versus army calculation.
A significant factor will be the motivation, the will, of the one who wants to control versus the motivation, the will, of the one who is fighting for their freedom and, yes, even their very life.
